Juba River Moderate to heavy rains received for about two weeks have generated run off that have caused the water levels along the entire Juba River to overflow their riverbanks causing devastating floods which have led to damage to crop lands and road infrastructure rendering them impassable and cutting off access in to and out of towns and other human settlements. Following heavy rains (125.0 mm) recorded yesterday 19th November 2023, the bridge at Luuq has been reportedly overtopped and is at risk of being swept away. The rains over Bardheere have been particularly intense with 108 mm, 35 mm, 96 mm and 58 mm of rain having been observed on 16th, 17th, 19th and 20th November 2023, respectively leading to sweeping away of Budubo bridge. Heavy rains have also been received downstream at Bualle with 71.0 mm being recorded yesterday, 19th November 2023. The light to moderate rainfall forecast over Juba River catchment in Ethiopian Highlands and within the Somalia border in Luuq district of Gedo region will generate runoff of less volume compared to previous week. However, the runoff from the previous moderate to heavy rains and ongoing light to moderate rains will sustain the river overflows and flooding at Dollow and Luuq. Run off from both ongoing and forecast moderate to heavy rains over the Juba River downstream catchment at Bardheere district in Gedo region and parts of Middle Juba region will generate enough runoff leading to increased river overflows and flooding at Bardheere, Saakow, Bualle and Jilib districts. There is therefore SUSTAINED FLOODING along the entire Juba River with INCREASING MAGNITUDE at both Bardheere and downstream at Saakow, Bualle and Jilib. The activated response plans should therefore be sustained along the upper stretch and upscaled downstream at Bardheere, Saakow, Bualle and Jilib. Shabelle River Water levels along the Shabelle River have been steadily increasing in the last three weeks. The river reached bankful level (8.30m) at Belet Weyne on Saturday 11th November 2023. The subsequent riverbank overflow led to massive floods in Belet Weyne town and the surrounding areas leading to damage to buildings, crop lands and rendering the passage into and out of town impassable due to bridge overflows. Based on timely advisories from SWALIM, SoDMA/MoHADM and other partners, the population was safely evacuated to designated higher grounds by the time the floods started. Moderate to heavy rains have been reported along the Shabelle River catchment with 70 mm, 31.8 mm and 29 mm received yesterday, 19th November 2023, at Bulo Burte, Jowhar and Balcad, respectively. The flow of the flood wave downstream coupled with moderate to heavy rains have led to river level rise at Bulo Burte to 32 cm above high flood risk level and only 48 cm below bankful. At Jowhar the level is only 10 cm below moderate risk level and 60 cm to bankful. Even if the flood wave is expected to flow downstream beyond Balcad in the coming days, floods have already been observed as a result of river breakages and flash floods. The light to moderate rainfall forecast over Shabelle River catchment in Ethiopian Highlands and within Hiran region in Somalia will generate runoff of less volume compared to previous week. However, the runoff from the previous moderate to heavy rains and ongoing light to moderate rains will sustain the river overflows and flooding at Belet Weyne and steady river level rise downstream at Bulo Burte, Jalalaqsi, Jowhar and Balcad. There is therefore SUSTAINED FLOODING at Belet Weyne and its environs and HIGH RISK OF FLOODING at Bulo Burte and its environs and PROJECTED HIGH RISK at Jowhar and its environs. The activated response plans should therefore be sustained at Belet Weyne town and the surrounding areas. The evacuation plans should be activated and sustained at Bulo Burte and surrounding areas, while it should be placed on standby at Jowhar and surrounding areas.

The last one week has seen a reduction in recorded rainfall amounts compared to previous weeks since the onset of the Karan rains. Most parts of the country remained dry for that period. The cumulative rainfall forecast for the next seven days indicates moderate rainfall in Awdal and the western side of Woqooyi Galbeed; while in eastern Woqooyi Galbeed and parts of Togdheer Regions light rains are foreseen. Light rains are also foreseen along the coastal strip in the southern regions. The rest of the country will remain dry for the coming week. Moderate to high rains are expected in the Ethiopian highlands, where Juba and Shabelle Rivers originate. Despite the rains received in parts of the country, drought conditions persist due across Somalia. The rains need to be well distributed and sustained over a long period, to alleviate the current drought situation.

Toddobaakii la soo dhaafay waxaa la arkayey kororka roob-di’idda guud ahaan Soomaaliya. Meelo badan oo ku yaal dooxooyinka Juba iyo Shabeelle ee Koonfurta, waa la diiwaaniyey 50 mm ilaa 70 mm wadar ahaan. Roobab dhexdhexaad ayaa sidoo kale laga diiwaaniyey gudaha Soomaliland halka ay Puntland ka ahaayeen roobab fudfudud labadii maalin ee u dambeeyey. Saadaasha roob-di’idda toddobaadka soocda waxay sheegaysaa roobabka oo kordhaya gudaha Soomaaliland, qaybaha koonfureed ee Soomaaliya iyo gudaha buuraleyda Itoobiya. Roobab culculus oo gaara ilaa 100 mm ayaa laga filayaa gudaha gobolladaan. Gobollada Bari, Nugaal iyo Mudug waxaa la filayaa inay ahaadaan kuwo engegan inta lagu jiro muddada saadaashan. Roobabka culculus ee la saadaalinayo waxay horseedi doontaa koror ku yimaadaheerka qulqulka webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle gudaha Soomaaliya oo lahayn halis fataadeed jiidda webiyada. Daadad ka soo rogmada meelaha sarsare oo saameeya meelaha hooseeya ee gobollada Soomaaliland, Jubada Dhexe, Bay iyo Bakool oo ayaa laga filayaa meelaha roobaka culculus ku da’aan inta lagu jiro muddada la saadaalinayo.

Dhowrkii maalin oo dambe roob-di’iddii waa yaraatay guud ahaan Soomaaliya iyadoo xarumaha badankood ay diiwaangeliyeen roobab fudfud ama roob la’aan. Sidoo kaleb Buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya qudheedu ma aysan diiwaangelin roobab macna leh. Saadaasha roob-di’idda ee todobada maalin oo socota waxay leedahay roobabku waa sii yaraanayaan meelaha intooda badan marka laga reebo koonfurta cirifika u dambeeya dalka gudaha Jubada Hoose halkaas oo ay ka sii socon doonaan roobab fudfud. Ma jiraan roobab laga odorosayo gudaha buuraleyda Itoobiya toddobada maalin ee soo socota. Roobab la’aanta la arkay dhowrkii maalin oo dambe, waxay keentay in heerarka webigu ay hoos u yara dhacaan oo ay gaaraan heer caadiga ka hooseysa waqtigaan kale sanadka. Waxaa la filayaa in xaaladda ay sidaas ku sii socoto ilaa roobab la helo bartamaha Abriil. Macaamiisha waxaa lala socodsiinayaa in tani tahay saadaal oo marmarka qaarkood ay kala duwanaadaan qiyaasaha iyo xaddiyada dhabta ah ee roobabka la helay. Macluumaadka saadaasha iyo heerarka webiga la arko waxaa loo cusboonaysinayaa si maalinle ah oo waxaa laga heli karaa xiriir kan: http://frrims.faoswalim.org.

The Deyr rains continued into the second month of the season with a significant reduction over the last two weeks. However, the last few days have seen light to moderate amounts of rainfall in scattered areas across the country. The good rains received so far have continued to replenish water sources further improving pasture growth and reducing water stress. There has been an improvement in livestock body conditions and milk production as well. Shabelle River: In Belet Weyne and surrounding areas, flood waters that invaded the town since the last week of October have now receded and the situation is getting back to normal notwithstanding the negative impacts left by the ravaging waters. River levels at a Belet Weyne, Bulo Burti and Jowhar as the well as the lower reaches of the river have been dropping gradually over the last week and are still above normal for this time of the year. The river levels are expected to remain high along the entire channel of Shabelle as more rains are foreseen in the Ethiopian highlands and inside Somalia. Moderate risk of flooding remains along the Shabelle in the coming week. Satellite image analysis indicate that more than 128,066 Hectares of land along the Shabelle of which more than 50% is agricultural land (80,041 ha) was inundated during the month of October and November. Juba River: Along Juba River the levels dropped gradually over the last two weeks consequently reducing the flood impacts. Riverine floods along the Juba during the month of October and early November left a total of 79,229 Hectares of land inundated of which 29, 748 Hectares is agricultural land. This has damaged farmland and crops leading to livelihood losses. The levels are expected to fluctuate in the coming week with a Moderate risk of flooding towards the end of the week. In Bay and Bakool regions: There was a reduction of rainfall activities in these regions over the previous weeks, which improved the situation in terms of flooding. Puntland, Somaliland and Central regions: soma parts of Somaliland continued to record rains in the month of November while there were minimal rainfall activities in Puntland. The rainfall forecast for the coming week shows continuing rainfall activities in many parts of Somalia and in the Ethiopian highlands. As a result, given the already saturated soil moisture there is a moderate risk of flooding along the two rivers. Flash floods will also be experienced in low-lying areas of Awdal, Woqooyi Galbeed Bakool, Bay and coastal areas of Galgaduud and Mudug regions. No significant amount of rains area foreseen in Nuugal, Bari and Mudug regions. Hot and dry conditions are expected to persist in the coming week calling a cause for concern due to the prolonged dry period which may lead to depletion of water resources and pasture in the coming weeks.

Saadaasha dhawaan uu soosaartay Shirweynaha Saadaasha Cimilada ee Weyn Geeska Afrikada (GHACOF50), oo soo baxday 28 Agoost 2018, waxay tilmaameysa inay dhici karto in roobabka Deyta (Oktoobar- Diseembar) ay noqdaan caadi iyo kuwo sarreeya caadiga guud ahaan Soomaaliya. Si gaar ah, saadaashu waxay muujineysaa in qiyaastii boqolkiiba 35 ay roobabku caadiga ka sarreeyaan gudaha Gobollada Waqooyi Galbeed. Qiyaastaasu waa ka sarreysaa (40%) in kale ee dalka (Jaantuska 1). Guud ahaan, suurtogallada roobabka caadiga ah ilaa kuwa caadiga ka sarreeya waa 75 boqolkiiba dalka oo dhan. Sida laga soo xigtay xog laga helay (GHACOF50), xilliga Deyrta 2018 waxaa la rajeynayaa in ay bilawdaan wax ka hor inta caadi ah oo ay si caadi ah uga joogsadaan qaybo badan oo ka mid ah Soomaaliya balse joogsiga hore waxay u badan tahay isla gobollada waqooyi-galbeed ee dalka. Waxaa sidoo kale jira oo laga yaabaa heerkulku kordha oo ka diirran isku celceliska heerkulka caadiga ah ee Soomaaliya. Celceliska la filayo ee ka korreeya celceliska roobabka Deyrta waxaa la rajeynayaa in ay sii wanaajiyaan daaqa iyo biyaha u helitaanka xoolaha, hagaajinta xaaladda xoolaha iyo taranka iyo fududeynta sii kordhida beerashada dalagyada beeraha gudaha goobaha dalagyada lagu beerto ee Soomaaliya. Dhanka kale, roobab caadi ah ilaa caadi ka sarreeya ayaa sidoo kale laga yaabaa in ay ka da’aan qaybo ka mid ah buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya kuwaas oo si aad ah uga qayb weyn ka qaadanaya socodka labada webi ee ugu waaweyn Soomaaliya (Jubbooyinka iyo Shabeelle). Natiijo ahaan, waxaa jiri doona khatar kordhaysa oo ah fatahaadaha webiyada Jubba iyo Shabelle. Goobaha hooseeya ee Galgaduud, Mudug, qaybo ka mid ah Nugaal iyo gobollada kale ayaa laga yaabaa inay la kulmaan fatahaado inta lagu jiro xilliga Deyrta soo socda sababtoo ah waxaa ka jira saadaasha roobab culculus. Saamaynta la filayo 1. Beeraha iyo Xoolaha Roobabka aad u kordhaya xilligii Deyrta 2018 waxaa la rajeynayaa in ay kor u qaadaan qoyaanka ciidda, taas oo fursado u abuuraysa in ay aad u kordhaan labada qayb ee dalagyada beeraha iyo koboca waxsoosaarka beeraha iyo shaqooyin ka helidda meelaha dalagyda beeraha ku tiirsan ee dalka. Celceliska la filayo oo ah mid ka badan celceliska roobabka Deyrta ayaa la rajeynayaa inuu sii wanaajiyo daaqa iyo biyo u helitaanka xoolaha taas oo sii wanaajinaysa xaalada xoolaha iyo dhalmada. 2. Deegaanka Waxaa lagugula talinayaa in la hirgeliyo tallaabooyin waxqabad oo lagu ilaaliyo ciidda si loo yareeyo xaaluf deegaameedka sababaya ciid-hallowga, boholaha dillaaca iyo nabaad guurka. Beelaha maxalliga ah waa in sidoo kale lagu dhiirrigeliyo in ay beeraan dhir deegaanka ku habboon iyo sidoo kale calafka xoolaha si loo kordhiyo dhirta iyo geedaha dhulka dedka u ah. 3. Maareynta Musiibada Marka eego roobab culus ee la saadaalinayo inay ku dhacaan dooxooyinka labada webi Jubba iyo Shabeele ee gudaha Soomaaliya iyo meelaha u dhawdhaw buuraleyda sare Itoobiya, ayaa loo badinayaa in ay sabab u noqdaan fatahaado meelaha gebiyada webiga daciifka ah iyo kuwa furan. Waxaa jira dhowr gebiyo wabiga oo furan oo khatar keeni kara xitaa xaaladaha roobabka caadiga ah. Daadad burqanaya ayaa sidoo kale laga filan karaa meelaha daadadka u nugul, ee hooseeya. Dawladda, maamullada degaanka, beelaha wabiyada iyo la-hawlgalayaasha ayaa waxaa lagula talinayaa in ay qaataan tallaabooyin yaraynaya halista fatahaada iyaga oo xiraya goobaha gebiyada webiyada furan ka hor bilawga roobabka bisha Oktoobar. 4. Khayraadka Biyaha Biyaha helitaanka, isticmaalka xoolaha iyo dadka labadaba, ayaa la filayaa inuu horumar sameeyo taas oo ah natiijada saadaasha celceliska oo ka sarreeya celceliska roobabka Deyrta. Tani waxay abuureysaa fursado ah qabsashada biyaha iyo u kaydinta isticmaalka mustaqbalka ee beelaha degaanka. Sidaa darted, beelaha waxaa lagu dhiirigelinayaa in ay kordhiyaan tallaabooyinka biyo qabsashada iyo kaydinta iyaga oo garabsanaya maamullada degaanka, xukuumadda iyo la-hawlgalayaasha.

Roobab fudfudud ayaa lagu arkayaa inay ka sii socdaan dhawr meelood oo ku kala durdurugsa gudaha dalka oo idil intii lagu jirey dhawrkii maalmood oo dambe. Saadaasha roob-di’idda la isugeeyey ee saddexda maalmood oo soo scota (Khariidadda 1) waxay muujineysaa koror la filayo oo roob-di’id ah gaar ahaan gudaha gobollada Soomaaliya ee Mudug, Galguduud, Hiiraan, Bay iyo Bakool iyo Buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya. Xaddiga roobabka waxaa la filayaa inn uu ku sii faafo bed/masaaxad ahaan iyo tiro ahaan markii toddobaadku sii socdo oo loo gudbo toddobada maalmood ee saadaasha roob-di’idda (Khariidadda 2). Sidaa awgeed, heerarka webiga ayaa la filayaa inay sii kordhaan taaasoo ku keeni karta halis fatahaad bartamaha iyo dhanka hoose ee labada webi Jubba iyo Shabeelle ilaa dhammaadka toddobaadka. Daadadka ayaa sidoo kale laga yaabaa inay ka dhacaan meelaha ay saadaashu ku tilmaameyso roob-di’id badan.

Tobankii maalmood oo dambe waxaa ka jirey roobab aad iyo aad u culus gudaha qaar ka mid ah gobollada Koonfureed iyo bartamaha Soomaaliya oo sababay fatahaad iyo barkac ka dhacay gudaha dhawr meelood. Gobolka Bay waxaa ka da’ay xaddiyada roobabkii ugu cuslaa oo goobaha qaar wuxuu dhawr maalmood sare ugu kacay roobabkii celceliska sanadalaha ahaa. Xaaladaha roob-di’idda waxaa la filayaa in aya raadaan toddobaadka soo socda oo ka muuqata saadaasha roob-di’idda 3-da maalmood iyo halka toddobaad sida mid mid ahaan ku cad Khariiradadda 1 iyo Khariiradda 2. Halkas waxaa ka jiraya halis fatahaadeed ah dhexdhexaad ilaa mid sare gaar ahaan bartamaha iyo inta hoose oo ay maraan Webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle meelahaas oo hadda heerarka webiyada ay tahay mid aad u sarreysa. Isticmaaleyaaasha waxaa lagu wargelinaya in waxaani ay yihiin saadaal oo ay dhici karto in mararka qaar ay wax iska weydaartaan saadaasha iyo xaqiiqda qadarka roobka la helay. Saadaasha, heerarka webiga la arkay iyo qadarka roobka-da’a waxaa loo cusboonaynsiiyaa si maalinle ah waxaana laga helikaraa gudaha xiriirkaan: http://systems.faoso.net/frrims/ .

Roobab fudfudud ayaa lagu arkayaa inay ka sii socdaan dhawr meelood oo ku kala durdurugsa gudaha dalka oo idil intii lagu jirey dhawrkii maalmood oo dambe. Saadaasha roob-di’idda la isugeeyey ee saddexda maalmood oo soo scota waxay muujineysaa koror la filayo oo roob-di’id ah gaar ahaan gudaha gobollada Soomaaliya ee Mudug, Galguduud, Hiiraan, Bay iyo Bakool iyo Buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya. Xaddiga roobabka waxaa la filayaa inn uu ku sii faafo bed/masaaxad ahaan iyo tiro ahaan markii toddobaadku sii socdo oo loo gudbo toddobada maalmood ee saadaasha roob-di’idda. Sidaa awgeed, heerarka webiga ayaa la filayaa inay sii kordhaan taaasoo ku keeni karta halis fatahaad bartamaha iyo dhanka hoose ee labada webi Jubba iyo Shabeelle ilaa dhammaadka toddobaadka. Daadadka ayaa sidoo kale laga yaabaa inay ka dhacaan meelaha ay saadaashu ku tilmaameyso roob-di’id badan.

Saadaasha Roob-di’dda la isu geeyey saddexda maalmood waxay tilmaamaysaa in Gobollada Dhexe iyo kuwa Koofureed ee dalka ay roobabku ay u socon doonaan kuwo fudud ilaa dhexdhexaad sidaas oo kale buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya waxaana la filayaa in uu kordho xaddigi iyo baaxad ahaan inta toddobaadku socdo, sida lagu muujiyey. Qaybaha Galbeed ee Soomaaliland iyo qaybaha koonfureed ee Soomaaliya oo ku jiraan Jubada Hoose, Shabeelaha Hoose iyo Shabeellaha Dhexe waa ay qalalnaan doonaan inta lagu jiro muddada la saadaalinayo. Heerarka webiga dhulka bartamaha Shabeelle hadda kor ayey u kacsan yihiin oo waxaa ka jira halis xoogan oo fatahaad gudaha Jowhar iyo deegaannadeeda.

Saadaasha Roob-di’dda la isu geeyey saddexda maalmood (Khariidadda 1) waxay tilmaamaysaa in gobollada Koonfureed ee xuduudka la leh Kenya meelo ka tagtagsan oo ku yaal Soomaaliland ay heli doonaan roobab fudfudud. Waxaa sidoo kale saddex beri gudahooda laga filayaa roobab fudfudud qaybo ka tirsan gobolka Bari ee xagga Waqooyi. Saadaasha hal toddobaad (Khariidadda 2) waxay sheegaysaa roobab kordhaya gudaha Soomaaliland iyo qaybaha sare dooxooyinka Juba iyo Shabeelle ee gudaha buuraleyda saree e Itoobiya. Heerarka webiga dhulka bartamaha Shabeellehadda kor ayey u kacsan yihiin oo waxaa ka jira halis fatahaad oo dhexdhexaad ah gudaha Jowhar iyo deegaannada lagu xusay saadaasha roob-di’idda.

Roobab fudud ilaa kuwo dhexdhexaad ayaa sii socday guud ahaan dalka iyo meelo badan oo gobollada koonfureed ah oo laga diiwaaniye roobab ilaa xad fiican. Roobab culculus ayaa la saadaalinayaa toddobaadka soo socda dhexdhiisa (Khariidadda 2) inay ka da’aan gobollada koonfurta iyo bartamaha Soomaaliya. Buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya ayaa sidoo kale la filayaa in ay hesho roobab culculus inta lagu jiro toddobaadka la saadaalinayo. Iyadoo la tixgelinayo saadaasha roob-di’idda, heerarka webiga ayaa la filayaa in ay kor u kacaan oo ay ku sababaan ilaa dhammaadka toddobaadka halis fatahaado dhexdhexaad ilaa kuwo sare gudaha deegaannada dhexe iyo kuwa hoose ee Webiga Shabeelle.

Roobabka deyrtu inta badan waa ka gaaban yihiin kana tiro yar yihiin kuwa Guga. Hase ahaatee, waxay waxtar u yihiin taageeridda hawlaha waxsoosarka beeraha, daaqa iyo sare kaca biyo u helidda isticmaallada kala duwan. Guud ahaan xilligu wuxuu bilowdaa daba yaaqada Sabteembar wuxuuna dhammaadaa Nofeembar.Si kasta oo ay ahaataba, waa iska bedbedelaa meel ka meel dhammaan dalka iyadoo ay qaybaha Waqooyi roobabka helaan waqti aad uga horreeya qaybaha koofureed. Shirka wacaalka Saadaasha Cimilada Geeska Afrikada Weyn wuxuu xaqiijiyey inuu hoos u dhac ku yimid fursadda lagula kulmayo dacdo El Nino ah inta lagu jiro bilaha Sebteembar ilaa Diseembar. Saadaasha roob di’iddu waxay muujineysa in xilliga Deyrta ee Soomaaliya laga filanayo uu noqonayo mid caadi ah (40% qiyaastii roobabku waa caadi) iyadoo loo badinyo inay suurtogal tahay in 35% ay roobabku caadiga ka hooseyaan badi qaybaha dalka. Tan waxaa sidoo kale ka mid ah qaybo ka tirsan buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya oo biyo ku biiriya webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle ee gudaha Soomaaliya. Waxaa intaa dheer, Gobollo xeebeedka Jubada Hoose iyo Shabeellaha Hoose ayaa waxaa la filayaa in ay la kulmaan roobab caadi ah (40% qiyaastii roobab caadi ah) oo laga yaabo in 35% ay noqdaan wax korreeya roobabka caadiga. Saadaashani waa saadal la isku afgartay oo loogu talagalay dhageysteyaasha gobolka oo wax ka qabta roobabka wadar ahaan marka isugeeyo muddada saddexda bilood oo ka bilaabmaya Oktoobar ilaa Diseembar 2017. Hase yeeshee, SWALIM iyo la-hawlgaleyaasha kale ee farsameed waxay sii wadi doonaa waafajinta saadaashaan muddooyinka gaagaaban ee soo socda oo waa ay idin lawadaagi doona iyagoo ku soo gudbin doona jariidadaha joogtada ah inta xilli roobaadku uu socdo. Marka la eego xaaladaha jira iyo saadaasha roob di’idda, waxaa la yaabaa in dhibaatooyin la xiriira biyo yaraan ay ka sii socdaan gaar ahaan qaybaha Waqooyi ee dalka halkaasoo saddexdii xilli roobaad ee hore ay ahaayeen kuwo ka hooseeya heerka caadiga ah. Waxaa sidoo kale jira suurtogal ahaansha qulqulatooyin u dhexeeya bani’aadan-xoolo oo isaga hor imaanaya ilaha biyaha xaddidan oo meelahaas ka jira. Kormeer si dhow loogula socdo xaaladda iyo tallaabooyin wax lagu bedelayo ayaa lagama maarmaan u ah sidii si waxkuool ah wax looga qabto xaaladda. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, meesha lagama saari daadadka butaaca oo ka dhaca iyo sidoo kale khadka webiga fataahaya oo sababtu tahay gebiyada webiga oo daciif iyo daamanka webiga oo loo jebiyo iyadoo looga dan leeyahay in waraab loo adeegsado. Waxaa laga filayaa in biyo ka helitaanku ka kordho meelaha roobabku ay caadi ka yihiin. Xaaladaha noocaas ah, waa in bulshooyinku ay ka faa’ideystaan roobabka oo hoor-qabsadaan marka ay da’ayaan si ay mustaqbalka u isticmaalaan, iyagoo adeegsanaya farsamooyin fudud. Dhanka kale, hadii ay jiraan roobab hoos u dhacsan waxaa laga yaabaa in dib-u-buuxsamidda meelaha ilaha biyaha dhusha sare ah ay yaraato sidaas awgeed bulshooyinku waa inay khayraadyada biyaha la haysto u isticmaalaan si beekhamin/tashiil leh.

Labadii maalmood ee laga soo gudbay roobab fudfudud ilaa kuwo dhexdhexaad ah ayaa ka sii socoday gudaha dhawr meelood oo ka yaal dalka oo dhan.Gudaha Gobollada Togdheer iyo Waqooyi Galbeed ee gudaha Somaalilan waxaa la diiwaangeliyey roobab fiicfiican kuwaas oo si habbon ugu qaybsanaa dhul iyo waqti ahaanba tan iyo 1-dii May 2017. Qaybaha koonfureed ee dalka sidoo kale waxay heleen roobab fiicfiican gudaha dharw meelood oo kooban tan iyo bilowgii bishaan May. Marka la eego labadii maalmood eedhanbe waxaa jirey gudaha Puntland hoos-u-dhac waxkuool ah ee roobabkii da’ayey. Roobabka waxaa la filayaa in ay ka sii socdaan gudaha dalka intiisa badan labada maalmood ee soo socota, laakiin hab si hooseysa ah. Buuraleyda saree e Itoobiya waxaa sidoo kale la filayaa inuu sii socdo helitaanka roobabka isla muddada tan. Arrintaani marka waxay horseedeysaa in heerar webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle ay kordhaan. Fataad webiyeed ayaa laga soo sheegay Gobolka Bartamaha webiga Shabeelle iyadoo ay ugu wacan tahay daamanka oo furan iyo gebiyada webiga tag daran. Qolyaha isticmaalaya xogtaan waxaa lagu wargelinaya in waxaani ay tahay saadaal oo mararka qaar waxaa ka jiri kara farqi ka duwanaan oo ka dhex dhaca saadaasha iyo qadarka xaqiiqda roob la helay. Saadaasha, heerarka webiga la arkay iyo qadaka roobka-da’a waxaa loo cusboonaynsiiyaa si maalinle ah waxaana laga helikaraa gudaha xiriirkaan: http://systems.faoso.net/frrims/

Labadii maalmood oo u dambeeyey ayaa waxaa sii socday roobab fudud ilaa kuwo dhexdhexaad ah oo ka da’ay dhawr meelood oo dalka ku kala yaal. Roobabka waxaa la filayaa in ay toddobada maalin ee na soo xiga ka sii socdaan gudaha qaybo badan oo dalka ka tirsan. Saadaasha roob da’idda ee toddobaadka soo aadan (Khariirad 2), waxay muujineysaa in roobab dhexdhexaad ah ilaa kuwo culus ay ka jiri doona gudaha Soomaaliland iyo Puntland. Waxaa gudaha qaybaha koonfureed laga filayaa roobab fudud ilaa kuwo dhexdhexaad ah halka gobollada dhexe la filayo in ay isla muddadaas ahaadaan qalayl. Buuraleyda sare Itoobiya ayaa sidoo kale iyagana la filayaa inay sii ka socdaan roobabka da’aya isla muddadaas inta lagu jiro. Tani ayaa markeeda horseedi doonta inay sii kordhaan heerarka biyaha gudaha webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle. Fatahaado webi ayaa laga soo sheegay aagga bartamaha webi Shabeelle taas oo ay ugu wacan tahay dacallo furan iyo gebiyada oo tag daran. Weli waxaa halkaas ka jira halis fatahaad dhexdhexaad ah qaybaha dhexe iyo xagga hoose ee webiga Shabeelle. Ma jirto wax halis fatahaad ah oo laga filayo jiidda webi Juba. Isticmaaleyaash xogtaan waxaa loo sheegayaa inay waxaani yihiin saadaal oo ay dhici karto in mararka qaar ay wax isweydaartaan saadaasha iyo xaqiiqda qadarka roobka la helay.

Xilligii Guga sanadka 2017 wuxuu ka bilowday qaybo ka mid ah Soomaalilan intii lagu guda jirey toddobaadkii laga soo gudbay ee Maarso iyadoo qaybaha koonfureed ee Gobolka Awdal la diiwaaniyey roobab mahiigaan ah oo ku fidsanaa shan maalmood. Tani waxay keentay in degdeg looga soo kabsado cadaadiskii deegaanka biyaha ka haystay. Qaybaha kale ee dalka waxaa la filayaa in ay bilaabato helitaanka roobabkii Guga marka la gaaro bartamaha Abriil. Saadaasha roob-da’idda maanta (Khariidad 1) waxay muujinaysaa roobab fudud oo gaaraya ilaa 20mm gudaha Gobollada Koonfureed, qaybo ka tirsan Soomaaliland iyo Buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya. Roobabka waxaa la filayaa inay ku kordhaan isla deegaannadaan ilaa dhammaadka toddobaadka sida lagu arkayo gudaha Khariidadda 2 taas oo sax uun ku ah ilaa 11 Abriil 2017. Xoogaa ama roob la’aan ay la saadaalinayaa gudaha Puntland iyo Gobollada Dhexe inta lagu guda jiro muddada la odorosay.

Qaybaha koonfureed ee dalka iyo biyo-qabadyada sare ee Webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle ee xagga buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya waxaa laga filayaa in helo roobab fudud iyo kuwo dhexdhexaad ah saddeda maalmood ee soo socota. Qaybaha waqooyi ee dalka waxay ahaan doonaan qalayl isla muddadaas.

Waxaa guud ahaan Soomaalia la filayaa roob yaraan saddexda maalmood ee soo socota, marka laga reebo meelaha xeebaha koonfureed kuwaas oo laga yaabo inay helaan roobab fudud. Qaybta biyo-qabatinka sare ee Webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle ee xagga buuraleyda saree e Itoobiya waxay iyaduna sidoo kale ahaan doontaa qalayl isla muddada iyada ah.

Waxaa saddexda maalmood ee soo socota gudaha qaybaha dalka inta badan ka jiri doona hoos u dhac xoogan oo ah arrimaha roob da’a. Inta badan meelaha gudaha dalka waxay ahaan doonaan qalayl marka laga reebo xeebta koonfureed oo laga yaabo inay hesho roobab fudud.

Saddexda maalmood ee soo socota waxaa ka jiri doona inta badan qaybaha dhulka Soomaaliya roob yaraan marka laga reebo dhanka hoose ee gobollada Juba iyo Shabeelle halkaas oo laga filaayo roobab fudud muddada la saadaaliyey. Roobab dhexdhexaad ilaa kuwo badan ayaa sidoo kale laga saadaaliyey dhulka-sare ee Itoobiya saddexda maalmood ee soo aadan.

Qaybo ka mid ah Soomaaliya waxaa la diiwaaniyey roobab dhexdhexaad ah intii lagu jirey halkii toddobaad ee danbe taas oo noqon karta suurogal bilowgii xilliga roobka Deyrta. Saadaasha roob da’a ku saabsan saddexda maalin ee soo xigta waxay tilmaamayaan khafiif ilaa dhexdhexad gudaha Puntland iyo Somaliland sidoo kale gudaha qaybaha kore ee dhulka-sare ee Itoobiya. Inta soo hartay dalka waxaa la filayaa in ay ahaato engegan inta lagu guda jiro muddada la midka ah.

Waxaa saddexda maalmood ee soo socota gudaha qaybaha dalka inta badan ka jiri doona hoos u dhac xoogan oo ah arrimaha roob da’a. Roobab fudud ayaa laga rajeynayaa gudaha dhowr goobood oo ka tirsan qaybaha koonfureed ee dalka. Qaybaha bartamaha iyo waqooyiga Soomaaliya waxay ahaan doonaa qalayl isla muddada iyada aha. Xaalado qalalan ayaa waxaa sidoo kale laga saadaalinayaa gudaha buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya inta lagu guda jiro muddada la saadaaliyey.

Roobab fudud ayaa laga rajeynayaa in laga helo gudaha qaybo ka tirsan gobollada Sanaag iyo Togdheer oo ka tirsan qaybaha waqooyi ee Soomaaliland iyo dhawr meelood oo ka tirsan gobollada koonfureed ee xuduudka la leh Itoobiya. Buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya oo roobabkeedu door xoogan ka qaataan qulqulka Webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle ee gudaha Soomaaliaya ayaa iyagana la filayaa inay helaan roobab fudud iyo kuwo dhexdhexaad ah inta lagu jiro muddada la sadaaliyey. Dalka inta soo hartay waxay heli doonta roob yar ama roob la’aan bay noqon isla muddada la xusay.

Saddexda maalmood ee soo socota waxaa qaybo badan oo ka tirsan Soomaaliya ka jiri doona arrin roob yaraan marka laga reebo gobollada Puntland halkaas oo laga rajeynaayo roobab dhexdhexaad ah maalmaha dambe ee muddada la saadaaliyey. Waxaa kale oo saddexda maalmood ee soo fool leh laga saadaalinayaa xagga buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya roobab dhexdhexaad ah.

Sida dhawaan lagu sheegay saadaal cimilo xilliyeed ku saabsan Geeska Afrikada Weyn ee soo saartay xarunta IGAD ee Saadaasha Cimilada iyo Xarunta dabaqaadda (ICPAC) ee taal gudaha Kampala, Uganda, roobabka Deyrta sanadka 2016 ee gudaha Soomaaliya ayaa waxaa la filayaa inay noqdaan kuwa dhexeeya wax ka hooseeya caadi ilaa caadi –iyadoo qiyaasta la filayo ay tahay 40% roobab ka hooseeya caadi iyo qiyaastii 35% roobab ku dhaw caadi gudaha dalka oo idil. Biyo-qabatinka sare ee webiyada Juba iyo Shabeelle gudaha Itoobiya ayaa sidoo kale waxaa la filayaa in ay ka jirisayso hoos udhac roobab inta lagu guda jiro xilliga Deyrta. Fadlan eeg lifaaqqa si aad u aragto tafaasiil dheeraad ah. Fadlan ogow in arrintani tahay saadaal la isla qaatay oo loogu talagaly goobjoogayaasha gobolka taasoo ka waaramaysa isugenta wadarta roobda’a, sanadka 2016, ee muddada saddexda bilood oo ka soo bilowda Oktoobar ilaa Disheembar. SWALIM iyo la-hawlwadaagta farsameed ee kale waxay joogto u cusuboonaysiin doonaan wararka saadaashan oo waxay kuurgali doonaan muddooyin waqtiga gaaban roobabku sida ay noqdaan xilliga Deyrta oo dhan waxaa ayna indin kula soo socodsiin doonaan wargeysyo caadi ah oo ay idiin soo gudbin doonaan.